Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Chiefs vs. Eagles
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-103/-127).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-127) after it opened @ 49.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- This week, Isiah Pacheco is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 rush attempts.
- After taking on 40.9% of his team’s rush attempts last year, Isiah Pacheco has been called on more in the run game this year, currently accounting for 61.7%.
- Isiah Pacheco has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The opposing side have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 66.0 per game) versus the Eagles defense this year.
- The Philadelphia defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
