NFL

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November 16, 2023

Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Isiah Pacheco from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Isiah PachecoRushing Yards

Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-103/-127).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-127) after it opened @ 49.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
This week, Isiah Pacheco is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 rush attempts.
After taking on 40.9% of his team’s rush attempts last year, Isiah Pacheco has been called on more in the run game this year, currently accounting for 61.7%.
Isiah Pacheco has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The opposing side have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 66.0 per game) versus the Eagles defense this year.
The Philadelphia defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards