Pros
- The predictive model expects the Panthers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per snap.
- In this contest, Chuba Hubbard is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 carries.
- The model projects Chuba Hubbard to be a more integral piece of his offense’s rushing attack in this week’s game (59.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.8% in games he has played).
- In regards to opening holes for runners (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football last year.
Cons
- The Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 6.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- This week’s line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are massive -11.5-point underdogs.
- The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.
- Chuba Hubbard’s 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year represents an impressive reduction in his running prowess over last year’s 4.7 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards