Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Alexander Mattison from EV Insight

Alexander MattisonRushing Yards

Right now, Alexander Mattison’s rushing yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 38.5 (-115) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).

Pros

Opposing offenses have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (161 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Denver’s group of DTs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

Cons

The Minnesota Vikings may take to the air less in this week’s game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 39.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Rushing Yards