Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashee Rice from EV Insight

Rashee RiceReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-163/+118).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (+118) after it opened @ 43.5 (-117).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
With a fantastic 80.5% Adjusted Catch% (99th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.
Rashee Rice ranks as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an exceptional 10.70 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.

Cons

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards