Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Packers vs. Chargers
Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-114) after it opened @ 26.5 (-114).
Pros
- This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.3 per game) this year.
- With an exceptional 75.6% Route% (87th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave has been among the TEs with the highest volume in football.
- With an excellent 34.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places as one of the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.
Cons
- The Green Bay Packers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
- This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 3.4 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards
36
Receiving Yards
