Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 68.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 97.0% of his offense’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
The predictive model expects Ja’Marr Chase to garner 11.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Cons

The projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.87 seconds per snap.
The Bengals O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Ja’Marr Chase’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, notching just 5.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.64 rate last year.
This year, the strong Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered a paltry 140.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a meager 6.6 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
92
Receiving Yards