Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jack Stoll

Jack StollReceiving Yards

Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 9.5 yards (-115/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 9.5 (-115) after it opened @ 9.5 (-114).

Pros

While Jack Stoll has earned 1.1% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Philadelphia’s passing attack in this week’s game at 7.5%.
The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
This year, the porous Chiefs defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 6.15 YAC.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
When talking about air yards, Jack Stoll ranks in just the 24th percentile among TEs this year, with just 2.0 per game.
Jack Stoll ranks as one of the weakest TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 12.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Projection

THE BLITZ
13
Receiving Yards