Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-125).

Pros

The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave has put up a colossal 126.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wideouts.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.5%) to WRs this year (69.5%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 60.5% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 19th percentile among wide receivers
Chris Olave has been among the bottom WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, giving up 7.46 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards