Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brock Wright from EV Insight

Brock WrightReceiving Yards

Right now, Brock Wright’s receiving yards prop is set at 12.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 12.5 (-120) after it opened @ 12.5 (-115).

Pros

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.9%) vs. TEs this year (76.9%).
The New York Giants pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 8.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.
The New York Giants pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.1% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
14
Receiving Yards