WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Brock WrightReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Giants vs. Lions
Right now, Brock Wright’s receiving yards prop is set at 12.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 12.5 (-120) after it opened @ 12.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.9%) vs. TEs this year (76.9%).
- The New York Giants pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 8.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.
- The New York Giants pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.1% pass rate.
- The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
- The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
- The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
14
Receiving Yards
14
Receiving Yards
