Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love from EV Insight

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 240.5 yards (-127/-108).

The public has bet the OVER up to 240.5 (-127) after it opened @ 226.5 (-117).

Pros

This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 36.1 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.3 per game) this year.
The Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Cons

The Green Bay Packers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
Jordan Love rates as one of the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 60.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 6th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards