Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-115) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).

Pros

The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts’s throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.0% to 69.5%.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
In this week’s game, Jalen Hurts is expected by the projections to have the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 34.0.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a paltry 199.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
226
Passing Yards