Week 3 NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets | NFL Picks Against the Spread | NFL Props | Survivor
Chris Meaney
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Chiefs vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-115) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Jalen Hurts’s throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.0% to 69.5%.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- At the present time, the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
- In this week’s game, Jalen Hurts is expected by the projections to have the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 34.0.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
- This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a paltry 199.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
226
Passing Yards
226
Passing Yards
