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Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Colt McCoy from EV Insight

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Colt McCoy

Colt McCoyPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 11

Cardinals vs. 49ers

Right now, Colt McCoy’s passing yards prop is set at 220.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 220.5 (-125) after it opened @ 224.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Colt McCoy in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have utilized play action on 30.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (6th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 7th-least yards in the league (just 212.0 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.24 yards-per-target: the 8th-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection
THE BLITZ
246
Passing Yards

Previous NFL Same Game Parlay Picks – Week 11 Monday Night Football Next Monday Night Football Plays: Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
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