Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-115) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 58.3% of his team’s carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has generated 53.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (78th percentile).
The Los Angeles Chargers have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Cons

The Chargers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 32.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 3.58 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards