The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Austin Ekeler has received 53.8% of his team’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Austin Ekeler has averaged 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (81st percentile).
Cons
The predictive model expects the Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In regards to run support (and the impact it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.
Austin Ekeler’s running efficiency has diminished this year, compiling just 3.70 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.87 figure last year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 74.0 per game) against the Lions defense this year.