Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Khalil HerbertRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Bears vs. Panthers
Right now, Khalil Herbert’s rushing yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-105) after it opened @ 45.5 (-125).
Pros
- The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chicago Bears to run on 53.0% of their opportunities: the greatest rate among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Khalil Herbert has generated 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (80th percentile).
- This year, the poor Panthers run defense has surrendered a colossal 147.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in the league.
Cons
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards
61
Rushing Yards
