Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (62.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 130.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The Commanders defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.8 per game) this year.
Noah Fant’s receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 78.4% to 81.5%.
Noah Fant’s 11.8 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 7.6 mark.

Cons

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
The 5th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 53.8 per game on average).
Noah Fant has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, Noah Fant has been featured much less in his team’s pass game.
The Commanders defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 38.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards