Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-115) after it opened @ 59.5 (-122).

Pros

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the most on the slate this week.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
In this week’s contest, Michael Pittman is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.3 targets.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.

Cons

The model projects the Colts as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards