Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Michael PittmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Patriots vs. Colts
Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-115) after it opened @ 59.5 (-122).
Pros
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.8 plays on offense in this contest: the most on the slate this week.
- The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
- In this week’s contest, Michael Pittman is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.3 targets.
- In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
Cons
- The model projects the Colts as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards
72
Receiving Yards
