Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Logan ThomasReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Seahawks vs. Commanders
Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders offensive approach to lean 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
- This week’s spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
- The model projects the Commanders as the most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
- Logan Thomas’s 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a substantial improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 25.0 rate.
Cons
Projection
THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards
34
Receiving Yards
