Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Keenan Allen from EV Insight

Keenan AllenReceiving Yards

Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With a sizeable 96.7% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, Keenan Allen ranks among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
Keenan Allen’s 93.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a meaningful growth in his receiving talent over last year’s 80.0 rate.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
103
Receiving Yards