Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Josh PalmerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
49ers vs. Chargers
Right now, Josh Palmer’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Chargers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Josh Palmer to total 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
- Josh Palmer has put up substantially more receiving yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in football.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
