Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
49ers vs. Chargers
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Chargers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to total 6.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
- Gerald Everett has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in football.
- Gerald Everett’s sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 63.3%.
- Gerald Everett’s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 6.71 yards-per-target vs a 7.96 rate last year.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 32.0) versus TEs this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards
42
Receiving Yards
