Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jamaal WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Bears vs. Lions
Right now, Jamaal Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.4% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to notch 16.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
- Jamaal Williams has been much more involved in his offense’s run game this season (63.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.2%).
- Jamaal Williams has rushed for significantly more yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
- Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-most yards in football (150 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
Cons
- The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
