Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jamaal Williams from EV Insight

Jamaal WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Jamaal Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to notch 16.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Jamaal Williams has been much more involved in his offense’s run game this season (63.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.2%).
Jamaal Williams has rushed for significantly more yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-most yards in football (150 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Cons

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards