Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight

George KittleReceiving Yards

Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 6.1 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
George Kittle has been among the best TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 52.0 yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.
George Kittle’s sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 75.6% to 79.5%.
George Kittle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a terrific 8.99 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Cons

The 49ers are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.7%) to tight ends this year (63.7%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards