Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-114) after it opened @ 33.5 (-113).

Pros

This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.81 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
This week, David Njoku is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.
The Cleveland O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 56.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
After totaling 45.0 air yards per game last season, David Njoku has regressed heavily this season, currently pacing 18.0 per game.
David Njoku’s 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 42.8.
David Njoku’s 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 50.0 rate.
David Njoku’s 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season represents a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 8.9 rate.

Projection

THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards