Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 61.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
CeeDee Lamb has been a more integral piece of his offense’s air attack this season (31.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (20.3%).
CeeDee Lamb has posted quite a few more air yards this year (96.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb has been among the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 68.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

Cons

The Cowboys are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
CeeDee Lamb’s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 59.7%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards