Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 81.5 (-115) after it opened @ 82.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 11.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 32.0% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Davante Adams has put up quite a few more air yards this season (124.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).

Cons

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Davante Adams has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (80.0) this season than he did last season (96.0).
Davante Adams’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 58.6%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
104
Receiving Yards