MLB Prop of the Day
Jay Felicio
Dane Martinez
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Raiders vs. Colts
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 81.5 (-115) after it opened @ 82.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 11.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
- Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 32.0% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
- Davante Adams has put up quite a few more air yards this season (124.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
Cons
- The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
- Davante Adams has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (80.0) this season than he did last season (96.0).
- Davante Adams’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 58.6%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
104
Receiving Yards
104
Receiving Yards
