Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 30.5 (+105).

Pros

Cade Otton’s 86.0% Route Participation Rate this year represents a noteable boost in his pass game volume over last year’s 63.9% rate.
Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to accrue 5.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has been rising this year, currently pacing 32.0 per game.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
Cade Otton’s 71.7% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 66.2% figure.

Cons

The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (only 56.8 per game on average).
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton has been as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in the league in the open field.
The Titans defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) to TEs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards