Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-120/-110).
Pros
- This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
- The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.81 seconds per snap.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
- In this contest, Amari Cooper is expected by the projections to land in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
- After averaging 96.0 air yards per game last year, Amari Cooper has gotten better this year, now averaging 113.0 per game.
Cons
- Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 56.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Amari Cooper’s 58.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his receiving ability over last season’s 64.9% mark.
- This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a meager 139.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-best in the league.
- This year, the tough Ravens defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a feeble 6.5 yards.
- When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore’s unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
