Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Buccaneers vs. Seahawks
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 239.5 yards (+110/-140).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 239.5 (-140) after it opened @ 249.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 37.8 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
- The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Geno Smith’s passing precision has improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 72.8%.
Cons
- The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 198.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the league against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (66.5%).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, conceding 6.54 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
261
Passing Yards
261
Passing Yards
