Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 235.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 235.5 (-137) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dak Prescott has been among the leading passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 260.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Cons

The Cowboys are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
Dak Prescott’s passing accuracy has declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.4% to 63.0%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards