Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 253.5 (-115) after it opened @ 244.5 (-118).

Pros

The Dallas Cowboys have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 5.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Dak Prescott rates as one of the leading QBs in football this year, averaging an outstanding 263.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Dak Prescott’s 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a meaningful improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 65.4% rate.
Dak Prescott ranks as one of the most effective QBs in football this year, averaging an exceptional 7.94 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Cons

The Cowboys are a heavy 17.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.
In this game, Dak Prescott is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.9.
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
263
Passing Yards