Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Leonard Fournette from EV Insight

Leonard FournetteRushing Yards

Right now, Leonard Fournette’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 55.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to notch 13.5 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Leonard Fournette has earned 66.0% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 32.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards