Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Leonard FournetteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Leonard Fournette’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 55.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to notch 13.5 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
- Leonard Fournette has earned 66.0% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
- The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 32.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards
61
Rushing Yards
