Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 69.5 (-115) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to garner 16.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has received 62.9% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has picked up 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (95th percentile).
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Cons

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 107 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards