Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Thursday 10/17)
MLB Dream
We move on to Week 2 of the NFL season and have a full slate of games. The list of potential prop bets I like at PointsBet this week is long. I used Kyle Murray’s NFL player projection model to start my research. Once I narrowed down my list, I plugged each player into our FTNBets prop shop tool in order to find the best price and number available.
Let’s see what I found.
Top 3 prop bets at PointsBet for NFL Week 2
These are the top plays that stood out to me based on those numbers at PointsBet.
Keenan Allen over 77.5 receiving yards
(-115, check out Allen’s prop shop page)
This number opened at 75.5 on most books and some have bumped it up to 80-plus already, including Caesar’s, BetMGM and DraftKings. Keenan Allen has a very good matchup against a weak Dallas Cowboys secondary. He also has the added benefit of being in a game where the Chargers likely need to throw more to keep up with the high-scoring Cowboys offense. The Chargers O-line held up well in Week 1, and the Cowboys pass rush is nothing special. That means Justin Herbert should have plenty of time to throw. Allen had 13 targets in Week 1, catching 9 for 100 yards. Last week, Chris Godwin torched this defense Thursday night, so this all sets up extremely well for Allen Sunday.
Jarvis Landry over 64.5 receiving yards
(-115, check out Landry’s prop shop page)
Jarvis Landry caught all 5 balls thrown his way for 701 yards in the opener. He faces a much softer secondary Sunday against Houston. Houston did create a few turnovers in Week 1, but they also got torched by the Jags for over 300 passing yards. Odell Beckham is still out for the Browns, which means more targets to go around and more for the main receiver in Landry. I am a little concerned about the game being out of reach late, but Landry is still a red-zone threat, a top third-down option, and someone who should be able to rack up a few catches on the way to building that big lead in the second half. The Browns know he is a playmaker and get him the ball in various ways. This number was 66 earlier in the week and I like getting it a little softer here as we project him to go over on the day.
Deonte Harris over 34.5 receiving yards
(-115, check out Harris’ prop shop page)
I should have played this earlier in the week, as the line is now 34.5 instead of 33.5. The Saints crushed the Packers in Week 1, and they only needed to throw the ball 20 times to do it. Deonte Harris saw a 10% target share on the 20 passes Jameis Winston threw. He caught both of them for over 70 yards, including a deep 55-yarder to set up a score. Carolina does not have a good pass defense either, which means the Saints should be able to produce through the air in this game. Assuming the score doesn’t get as ridiculous as it did last game, the passing game should be busier here. That means more opportunities for the receivers. Harris is a big-play threat and could do this on one deep catch, but he also could rack up 3-4 catches in the flow of the game for 8-12 yards each. The Saints are thin at WR, so he will have plenty of chances to get the job done here.
