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FTN NFL Model Best Bet: Week 13

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Welcome to FTN’s NFL Model best bet. We use our incredible NFL data to find value in the betting markets. 

Make sure to use our NFL Prop tool to find the largest edges in the prop market. Don’t leave money on the table and check FTN’s free Prop Shop Tool to make sure you’re betting the best number available.

Let’s get back into the win column this week after our Week 12 Titans/Texans under was dead early, with the Texans scoring a touchdown 18 seconds into the game off a Titans turnover. We’re still up for the season at 8-5 (+2.58x), and the FTN NFL Model has a 9.39% edge for us to take advantage of. We’re banking on a couple young QBs to light up the scoreboard as we’re going over 42.5 (-108) with the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots. Good luck if you’re tailing.

2024 DVOA:

Overall
Indianapolis Colts: 21
New England Patriots: 32

Offense
Indianapolis Colts: 21
New England Patriots: 31

Defense
Indianapolis Colts: 16
New England Patriots: 30

Best Bet

Colts/Patriots Over 42.5 (-108, DraftKings Sportsbook

To see all of our plays, visit the NFL Bet Tracker

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