Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
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As either Zac Graham or I will continue to do all throughout the NBA season, I will provide you with my three favorite options on SuperDraft DFS for the slate at hand. In this case, we have a seven-game slate Friday.
Domantas Sabonis, PF/C, Indiana Pacers (@ BKN)
Score multiplier: 1.05x
I touched on Domantas Sabonis’ upside in my NBA First Look article, but no player sees more statistical upside with Malcolm Brogdon out than Sabonis. Using FTN Daily’s NBA On/Off tool, we see that Sabonis nearly averaged a triple-double in the 12 games without his point guard last season:
Against a Charlotte team that hasn’t necessarily figured things out on the defensive end, the Pacers should have ample room to produce without their point guard and the offense should funnel completely through Sabonis, who should be viewed as a value with a 1.05x multiplier on a slate where he benefits this much from an injury.
T.J. McConnell, PG, Indiana Pacers (@ BKN)
Score multiplier: 1.55x
Following the same theme here regarding Brogdon’s absence, T.J. McConnell will be the likely candidate to slide into the starting lineup. The benefit this season compared to last season, however, is the fact that he won’t be fighting with Edmond Sumner and Aaron Holiday for his minutes with both of them no longer on the team. Again using the On/Off tool, McConnell saw some nice production bumps as well:
SuperDraft was unable to catch up to the news of Brogdon sitting out, hence McConnell’s generous 1.55x multiplier, making him arguably the top value play of the entire slate on SuperDraft.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker, SG, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. SAC)
Score multiplier: 1.45x
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been criminally underpriced across the industry so far this season, and SuperDraft has been no different. He’s been the beneficiary of stepping into a new role this season, ranking second to only Brandon Ingram on the Pelicans in usage rate (23.4%) while averaging 57.2 touches per game and 3.3 minutes of possession per game (third on the team). He’s primed for another heavy workload on offense in a pace-up spot against a Kings team that should offer additional possessions for Alexander-Walker to capitalize on. His 1.45x multiplier is a phenomenal value.
