FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
Thursday is a slower night on the NBA schedule until football season ends, and this Thursday, we have just three games to choose from. Some injury news has opened up a few best bets for the evening and we may see more before tipoff. Make sure to get over to the FTN Bet tracker to see all our analysts’ best bets for the day.
Best NBA Points Prop Bet
Anfernee Simons Under 22.5
(-103, BetRivers)
Damian Lillard missed nine games before returning in his last one. Anfernee Simons was the beneficiary of those games, with increased shots, touches, usage and scoring. He still managed to hit for 22 in the last game with Dame back, but this projects to be on the lower end for scoring and as Dame’s minutes and shot attempts climb, it is going to be at the expense of guys like Simons, Jerami Grant and Jusuf Nurkic.
Best NBA Rebound Prop Bet
Jabari Smith Over 6.5
(-135, Caesars)
This number has moved to 7.5 most places, and so has the number for most other Houston Rockets. Bruno Fernando is unlikely to play. While he does not play a ton of minutes, he is a high-rate rebounder when on the floor. His absence probably opens up another 12-15 minutes at the big man spots, and Jabari Smith is likely to fill them. Smith saw his most minutes all season last game with 39 (It did go to overtime). He’s averaging over 7 rebounds per game on the season in just 30 minutes of action. If he plays more than that as expected, he should cash this over.
Best NBA Assist Prop Bet
Tyler Herro Over 5.5
(+106, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Tyler Herro topped this last game and that was with Kyle Lowry in the lineup and Victor Oladipo making his debut. He’s averaging 6.6 assists per game on the season and 7 assists per game over the last 6. The 5.5 number felt a bit low and then seeing it at plus money on FanDuel with DK, MGM and Caesars all at -105 was the kicker for me.
