NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games.
I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.
Let’s get to it.
Top Points Prop
Devin Vassell o20.5 points
Devin Vassell has produced 22+ points in six of his last eight games this season and now finds himself in a plus-matchup for scoring. My model has him for 28 tonight.
Top Assists Prop
Stephen Curry o36.5 Points+Assists
Cheating here a little bit attacking the points, but Stephen Curry has that upside to go for 35+ any given night, and I also have him for 7+ assists.
Top Rebounds Prop
Clint Capela o11.5 rebounds
This is a big number, but Clint Capela should see a nice boost and minutes due to some Atlanta injuries, and they’ll need his rebounding here against the Bucks.