Week 14 DVOA NFL Picks
Aaron Schatz
Welcome to “5 Stats to Know.” This NBA DFS article will come every day, Monday through Friday, provided by yours truly, to help you gain a quantitative edge on the rest of the field when identifying core plays.
The format of this article is simple. I will provide five stats that stuck out to me when diving into the day’s NBA slate. These could be derived from FTN’s suite of tools (Advanced DvP, NBA On/Off Splits) or from the NBA’s extensive library of statistics.
Make sure to check out all of the great FTN NBA offerings and fantastic NBA Tools, including our FTN NBA Odds Tracker and daily FTN NBA DFS cheat sheets!
Now, onto the noteworthy numbers for the slate at hand.
Evan Mobley, PF/C, Cleveland Cavaliers (@ IND)
Evan Mobley has seen a 2.3% bump in usage and averages 0.10 more DraftKings points per minute
While these appear to be incremental bumps at best, the amount of minutes Mobley projects to play (35-plus) makes them far more impactful than they may appear. With Allen out for the foreseeable future, we should see Mobley shift to the starting center position, upping his potential for rebounds and easy buckets around the rim. He’s averaged 17.2 points and 9.17 rebounds per-36-minutes with Allen off the floor and against an Indiana defense that has been one of the worst collective units in the league this season, a $7,000 price tag feels very reasonable.
Cameron Payne, PG, Phoenix Suns (@ ORL)
No player on the Suns sees a higher usage rate with Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Cameron Johnson off of the floor than Cameron Payne (26.6%)