The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (9/1)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats are from the last 30 days via FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

Orioles (+205), Blue Jays (-250)
Total: 9.5 runs
Matt Harvey (R) vs. Steven Matz (L)

The Orioles have been mediocre in the last month with a 23.4% strikeout rate and .315 wOBA.
The Jays have been struggling – they are actually in the bottom 10 in wOBA in the last month.
Matt Harvey is surviving with a low strikeout rate (17.8%) offset by a high ground-ball rate (42.3%).

Best bets: Another day, and another same-game parlay on the Blue Jays.

Athletics (-176), Tigers (+148)
Total: 9.5 runs
James Kaprielian (R) vs. Wily Peralta (R)

The Athletics may have saved their season winning the last two games of the Yankees series. Can they take care of the Tigers?
The A’s have been cooking at the dish recently — they are 11th in team wOBA in the last month.
The Tigers have stunk at the dish in the last 30 days — they rank in the bottom three in walk rate, ISO, and wOBA.

Best bets: The OVER. The A’s woke up a bit Tuesday, and I think they pound Peralta.

Guardians (+108), Royals (-126)
Total: 9.0 runs
Logan Allen (L) vs. Mike Minor (L)

The Guardians have been going beast mode at the dish — they clock in sixth in wOBA with a .336 mark.
Did Amed Rosario resurrect his career? The dude has been slammin’ at the plate and went 5-for-5 Tuesday.
KC needs to pick it up — over the last month, they are sixth worst in the league in wOBA (.296).

Best bets: I love the road Guardians here — Allen is decent and the offense has been fire.

Cubs (+144), Twins (-172)
Total: 9.0 runs
Justin Steele (L) vs. Joe Ryan (R)

The Cubs have a weird profile in the last month — they rank 20th in team wOBA with a whopping 30.8% whiff rate.
The Twins held their own for a bit, but for now in the last month, they are 18th in team wOBA (.318).
This looks like a bullpen day for both teams. Who can come out on top?

Best bets: The John Gant prop hit again; peek at Ryan’s mark and try and hit it again.

Pirates (+290), White Sox (-360)
Total: 9.0 runs
Max Kranick (R) vs. Carlos Rodón (L)

The White Sox are smoking — they have a .184 ISO and .334 wOBA in the last month.
The Pirates are the league’s worst offense in the same time frame in terms of walk rate, ISO and wOBA.
With Lucas Giolito leaving Tuesday due to a tight hamstring, can Carlos Rodón pick up the slack in his absence?

Best bets: The Sox — they are white hot at the dish and another quality arm takes the mound.

Yankees (-275), Angels (+225)
Total: 8.5 runs
Gerrit Cole (R) vs. Packy Naughton (L)

The Yankees need to wake up at the plate – their .163 ISO and 24.6% whiff rate is ugly over the last month.
The Angels are smack dab in the middle offensively over the same time frame, ranking 15th in wOBA and ISO.
Can Cole sneak out the Cy Young? Lance Lynn is hitting the IL opening the door.

Best bets: The OVER hit Tuesday, and I like it again here. This Angels offense could get to Cole.

Brewers (+150), Giants (-178)
Total: 7.5 runs
Brett Anderson (L) vs. Kevin Gausman (R)

The Brewers are finally waking up at the plate — they are sixth best in team wOBA (.332).
The Giants have screeched to a halt on offense, ranking 19th in the same metric.
The Giants have been playing fine in their recent run (9-7 in L16), but the Dodgers have narrowed that gap.

Best bets: This pitching matchup is really lopsided, despite Gausman’s recent struggles. Take the Giants in a F3/F5 bet.

Braves (+184), Dodgers (-220)
Total: 7.5 runs
Max Fried (L) vs. Max Scherzer (R)

The Dodgers keep rolling – they’ve posted a .178 ISO and .325 wOBA mark over the last 30 days.
The Braves are neck and neck with the Dodgers, logging a .187 ISO and .324 wOBA over the same time frame.
It’s the battle of the Maxes — which one can come out on top? Both have been brilliant lately.

Best bets: The UNDER. I think these pitchers hold the offenses down and the UNDER hit Tuesday.