PrizePicks for March 7

It was a profitable first half of the NBA season on PrizePicks, but the All-Star break doesn’t mean the board is devoid of hoops action this weekend. In fact, it’s quite the opposite. The fine people at PrizePicks aren’t just giving us props for the game itself, but we also get action on the three-point and dunk contests.

Some important notes to keep in mind: The NBA created two new sponsored shooting areas to the three-point contest last season that increase the highest possible score in a round to 40 points, up from the previous 34 from 2013 to 2019. Additionally, the dunk contest will have traditional scores out of 50 for the first round, but this year’s final round will be a judge’s choice for a winner instead of each dunk being graded. Let’s head to the board and see what we’ve got on tap for this busy All-Star Sunday.

If you aren’t familiar, I bet you’re wondering just what the heck is PrizePicks? There’s no shortage of outlets to look for different kinds of fantasy action as we roll along through this NBA season, and after being introduced to PrizePicks a few months ago, it has quickly become a part of my DFS routine. This season, I will be stopping by twice a week to discuss what’s on the board on the app that is quickly becoming one of my favorite spots to get some hoops action.

PrizePicks is a creative new way to parlay picks based on expected fantasy point production. The format is simple. PrizePicks will set fantasy point lines for select players and then you choose between two and five players to go over or under their given projection. Naturally, the more players you put into your parlay, the larger the payout! You can enter a “Power Play,” where you must get every pick in your parlay correct to get paid out. Another option is a “Flex Play,” where your payout changes depending on the number of picks you got correct.

• Two-player “Power Play” entry pays 3x and “Flex Play” pays 2x for both correct and 0.5x for one correct
• Three-player “Power Play” entry pays 5x and “Flex Play” pays 2.25x for three correct and 1.25x for two correct
• Four-player “Power Play” entry pays 10x and “Flex Pay” pays 5x for four correct and 1.5x for three correct
• Five-player entries are only eligible for “Flex Plays” and pay out 10x for five correct, 2x for four correct and 0.4x for three correct

Sunday’s first NBA action locks at 7:15 p.m. ET on PrizePicks. Note that these lines can shift throughout the day leading up to lock just like a spread or moneyline on a game. Tag me in the PrizePicks Discord channel up until lock if you want a second pair of eyes on a parlay you’re considering or for help on lines that may have changed since this writing.

Scoring breakdown for PrizePicks contests can be found here.

My 2020-21 PrizePicks record

• Picks overall: 131-95
• Favorite combos: 31-43
• Longshot 5-way parlays:
  • 10x: 2
  • 2x: 9
  • 0.4x: 6
  • No cash: 6

March 7 PrizePicks

3-point contest

• Stephen Curry (28.0 points) – UNDER
• Mike Conley (22.0 points) – OVER
• Zach LaVine (24.0 points) – OVER
• Donovan Mitchell (23.0 points) – UNDER

Dunk contest 

• Obi Toppin (92.0 points) – OVER
• Cassius Stanley (97.0 points) – UNDER
• Anfernee Simons (94.5 points) – OVER

All-Star Game 

• Zion Williamson (35.0 points) – OVER
• Stephen Curry (38.5 points) – OVER
• Bradley Beal (29.5 points) – OVER
• Luka Doncic (32.5 points) – UNDER
• Nikola Jokic (31.5 points) – UNDER
• Giannis Antetokounmpo (43.5 points) – OVER

Favorite combinations

• Stephen Curry (u28.0), Obi Toppin (o92.0)
• Anfernee Simons (o94.5), Donovan Mitchell (u23.0)
• Bradley Beal (o29.5), Luka Doncic (u32.5)
• Nikola Jokic (u31.5), Zion Williamson (o35.0)

Power play payout: 3x 
Flex play payout: 2x for two correct, 0.5x for one correct

Favorite longshot five-way flex play of the day

I’m not a huge fan of doing the largest offering of a five-way parlay on a daily basis, but if I was to run one out there Sunday on PrizePicks, here’s what I would throw in.

• Stephen Curry (u28.0), Obi Toppin (o92.0), Luka Doncic (u32.5), Nikola Jokic (u31.5), Donovan Mitchell (u23.0)
  • Flex play payout: 10x for five correct, 2x for four correct, 0.4x for three correct