Jon Kelly's Articles

We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports with UFC Vegas 7 on the horizon. We are coming off a unique week where we saw multiple underdogs not only win but win big at low ownership. In a high variance sport like MMA, we are going to have weeks like that, but it […]

Welcome to the newly minted prop segment for every UFC fight card. Moving forward, I will mostly focus on betting these fights from a prop angle that I like based on how I see the fight playing out. Method of victory props have always been my bread and butter so I will be focusing more […]

Welcome back this week as we have an exciting PPV card on Saturday for UFC 252. There’s nothing like a good PPV card to get things moving in the right direction. First things first, the Ion Cutelaba/Magomed Ankalaev fight has been canceled, as Cutelaba tested positive for COVID-19. That was unfortunate, because I did have […]

Welcome back this week as we have an exciting PPV card on Saturday for UFC 252. Unfortunately, we only have 11 fights this week so that is something to consider when thinking about roster construction. With just 11 fights as opposed to the 12 last week, all of the popular plays will see an increase […]

We are back this Saturday in Las Vegas at UFC Apex. Last week was a complete mess, as we had multiple short-notice replacement fighters on the card and only nine fights. This week, we have 12 fights, pending the weigh-ins and any positive tests. That said, this is a card that I would recommend caution […]

We are back for a full 12-fight card this Saturday in Las Vegas at UFC Apex. Last week was a complete mess as we had multiple short-notice replacement fighters on the card. Additionally, we also dealt with Trevin Giles fainting prior to his fight against Kevin Holland, who was a popular target on DraftKings, so […]

We are headed back to UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada this Saturday for UFC Vegas 5, which features Derek Brunson vs. Edmen Shahbazyan as the main event. We ended Fight Island with a bang after hitting the Fabricio Werdum first-round submission prop at a big number. One thing to keep in mind is that […]

We have temporarily left Fight Island and are back at the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada this week. The main thing to note is that we are back to the smaller octagon, which historically tends to lead to more finishes than the standard octagon. Another thing to note is that we are coming off a 15-fight […]

We are back at Fight Island for a full 15-fight card this Saturday. I'm coming off a slight losing week in the betting department but things are slowly starting to turn around. The Deiveson Figueiredo knockout prop would have swung it into a positive night and that fight could have been stopped multiple times prior to […]

We have made it to our last fight card at Fight Island for the foreseeable future, although UFC president Dana White has confirmed that we will be back at a later date to be determined. And with the card, we’re back with our DFS breakdown. Last week’s card had some surprises but ultimately played out […]

There is no beating around the bush from me when it comes to this week’s UFC action — the Wednesday card was rough from a betting standpoint. There were a couple tough breaks but also just plain misreads from me as well. I am very excited and optimistic for this Saturday card to get things […]

Coming off the Wednesday card where we saw Calvin Kattar outperform Dan Ige to win a decision on Wednesday, we now have a very quick turnaround for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night card on "Fight Island." Much like the Wednesday card, we expect to see a few finishes on Saturday, and there are a couple new […]

It is always difficult to follow up a big-time PPV card, but this one could be underrated from an entertainment level. We have many new faces making their UFC debut along with fighters who have a strong history of knocking people out, which we always enjoy watching. Lastly, this card is capped off by what should […]

Each week, I try to identify value in the betting markets based on how I see each fight playing out. Because of the MMA's subjectivity in nature, there are times we can point out large discrepancies in how the public is betting certain fighters relative to what is the most likely outcome of that fight. […]

Each week I will try to identify value in the betting markets based on how I see each fight playing out. Because of the subjective nature of MMA, there are times we can point out large discrepancies in how the public is betting certain fighters relative to what is the most likely outcome of that fight. I […]

The UFC is headed to Yas Island in Abu Dhabi this week for UFC 251. This fight card is easily the best of the year and arguably the strongest card in UFC history from top to bottom. We have three title fights on the line, and the main event is the highly anticipated Kamaru Usman versus Jorge Masvidal […]

MMA DFS is perhaps the most fun sport to play in the daily fantasy industry. The “sweat” of watching your fighter land a knockout blow is unmatched in terms of the entertainment value and the adrenaline rush that it provides. But more importantly, the barrier of entry in playing MMA DFS is much smaller than […]