Eliot Crist's Articles

Every day, PointsBet Sportsbook has released new player prop lines for the 2021 NFL season. Some numbers may appear high, but it is important to remember there is an extra game this year with the NFL moving to a 17-game schedule instead of 16. Passing props, receiving props, rushing props and touchdown props continue to […]

Zero running back is a popular phrase with a constant debate over the exact definition. It does not mean you don’t draft any running backs; it doesn't mean you draft all other positions first; it means you are targeting receivers and tight ends early and running backs later. A new term is modified zero running […]

Every day, more and more NFL season props come out on different sportsbooks as we continue to inch closer and closer to the NFL season. Oh, how we miss you Sundays, come back to us! Until then, however, we will continue to try and take advantage of lines and put ourselves in as many positive expected […]

On Sunday, the Tennessee Titans added one of the league's best playmakers in Julio Jones, acquiring him with a second-round pick from the Atlanta Falcons. The 32-year-old has averaged more yards per game than any other player in the history of the league. Since entering the league in 2011, he ranks either first or second in […]

There is no more important position in sports than an NFL quarterback. The age-old saying is if you have two quarterbacks, you really have none. Getting the decision right for who is the starting quarterback is the key to a team's chances of having a winning season or looking for a new one come draft […]

Last season, I had the New York Jets at +1400 to have the worst record in football, and oh how close we came to cashing that beautiful ticket. Trevor Lawrence’s flowing golden locks would be in New York right now looking as beautiful as ever — but that isn’t the reality we are in. Coming […]

The NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award has now gone to a pass rusher in eight of the last 10 seasons. It’s very difficult for a middle linebacker to get the award in the new age of football as the versatility required in today's passing league makes it so difficult to rack up numbers. […]

The Most Valuable Player in the NFL, the most coveted individual award in the sport, should be renamed the Most Valuable Quarterback. Yes, the quarterback is the most valuable position in football by far, but since 2007, only one running back has won the award and with analytics and the NFL being a passing league, […]

It may be May, but it is always football season. With the NFL's schedule released, books continue to release more and more lines to bet. While most will say it is too early, you won't get better lines than right now. With a 17-game season and 14 teams making the playoffs, we have never had an […]

NFL Coach of the Year odds are up on DraftKings Sportsbook, and even current favorite Kevin Stefanski is set at +1300. If you like long shot bets, betting on the coach of the year is the bet for you. While Stefanski is the favorite, he would be the first coach ever to win back-to-back Coach […]

With the NFL Draft in the books, the top rookies now have their landing spots. The Jaguars got Trevor Lawrence, while the Jets landed their man in Zach Wilson. The top-drafted skill position players were Kyle Pitts — the highest-drafted tight end in over 50 years, going fourth overall to the Atlanta Falcons — and […]

The NFL Comeback Player of the Year is given to the player who overcomes shows perseverance in overcoming adversity to return to form on the field. Some years, this award is locked up before the season even starts — last year, for example, the minute Alex Smith returned from his leg injury that almost took […]

Right now on DraftKings Sportsbook, you can wager on how many receiving yards Tim Tebow gets in 2021. You read that correctly: The former Heisman winner and first-round pick at quarterback and retired MLB minor leaguer is rumored to be closing in on a deal to try out for the team Jacksonville Jaguars to play […]

The first round of the 2021 NFL Draft is in the books, and what a round one it was. Five quarterbacks, five receivers, two running backs and a tight end all went in Round 1. With so much talent selected in the first round, the Rookie of the Year race is going to be extremely […]

Draft day is finally here. It has been a long road, but it is in fact finally here. No new information should come out prior to the draft and what does is likely smoke. It’s time for my final mock draft of what I think is going to happen on the day of the first […]

Draft day is finally here. It has been a long road, but it is in fact finally here. No new information should come out prior to the draft and what does is likely smoke. It’s time for my final mock draft of what I think is going to happen on the day of the first […]

Closing line value is an amazing barometer of if you are holding a valuable ticket going into an event. When you beat the closing line, you have CLV, or closing line value — your implied probability to win your bet is greater than what the closing market dictates. While my closing line value for the […]

I have said it time and time again: When you see a bad line during draft season, you have to pounce like a tiger on its prey. Don’t wait to act. That’s how I currently have CLV on 57 NFL draft bets with just 11 lines moving against me. Tuesday morning, I discovered a stale […]

No sportsbook offers more available Markets right now than William Hill with 83 players currently listed. Now, 83 players can’t go in the first round, so a lot of these players spill into Rounds 2-7. When numbers get that high, you have a lot of outs in either direction, but you also get a lot […]

  The NFL Draft is this week and while the numbers moved on my first NFL Draft long-shot bets article there are still some valuable numbers out there to take advantage of. Yes the Jaycee Horn first defender prop is down from +1000 to +350 and the Titans are now just +550 to go defensive […]

While the NFL draft world focuses on who the San Francisco 49ers will draft with the third overall pick in Mac Jones, Trey Lance or now the distant long shot Justin Fields, the opportunity to bet on quarterbacks doesn't end there, it simply begins. With five quarterbacks projected to go in the first round, it is […]

The 2021 NFL Draft market odds move faster than Usain Bolt, and it’s important to be able to adjust accordingly. One of the biggest things to understand is when you’ve missed the boat and it's time to go home. Don’t chase it. Unlike a game where a line might move from 6.5 to 5.5, players […]

It is 2021 NFL Draft season, as we are only nine days away from 32 young men hearing their names called in the first round by commissioner Robert Goodell. I have talked about this in all my pieces so far — whether Bet the Mock, Long Shot Bets or Landing Spot Bets — but embracing the variance and […]

The first round of the NFL draft takes place on April 29 and it's a spectacle like few other events. While essentially it is a four-hour event where they are reading off names, players' lives and team outlooks change overnight as the next generation of NFL superstars are welcomed to the league. There is no betting […]

Everyone wants to know who is going where during the NFL draft. It is why we all obsess over mock drafts, scroll down to our favorite team and immediately judge the entire draft based on who the analyst gave our favorite team. Betting on who goes where is a tricky task for the NFL draft […]

There are hundreds of opportunities to make money April 29 when the 2021 NFL Draft kicks off, and I am not talking about the players having their names called.  There are a ton of NFL Draft prop bets available across DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, BetMGM, William Hill and Tipico Sportsbook. First players taken at different positions, player over/unders, what team players go to, and more. […]

The NFL expanded its season to 17 games Tuesday. Following the official announcement, DraftKings Sportsbook released its 2021 win totals. Win totals are sure to move and quickly, so getting in early on value is a great way to hold a winning ticket with the greatest upside. Without further ado — my two favorite win […]

We are only 49 days away from the 2021 NFL Draft, and the betting opportunities are opening up by the day. While we are just at the tip of the iceberg for what will end up being hundreds of prop betting opportunities, there are five NFL Draft prop bets that stand out to me to […]

(Follow along with all things 2021 NFL Draft with the FTN 2021 NFL Draft Hub!) We are only 49 days away from the 2021 NFL Draft, and the betting opportunities are opening up by the day. While we are just at the tip of the iceberg for what will end up being hundreds of prop betting […]