Alex Blickle's Articles

We’ve made it to East Lake for the PGA Tour’s Houston Open. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in order […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Golf is the only sport where the “arena” in which it is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you haven’t already. […]

Each week, I’ll review my single entry lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be > 10% of my overall investment. We’ll just be looking at my single-entry lineup this week. The goal […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

First, a snapshot of the current ownership projections: The goal of this article is to use ownership to find paths to GPP success through the use of standard correlation and correlated leverage.  Offensive Efficiency Report The offensive efficiency report suggests this game could be more competitive than the spread suggests – especially if Justin Fields […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace = more possessions = more opportunity for fantasy production Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS – contrarian options […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which means more opportunities for fantasy production Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS – contrarian […]

Ownership Projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this Thursday article is to: Take a […]

We’ve made it to East Lake! Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players about their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play to be in the highest EV position. Enter: hot takes.  […]

Each week, I’ll review my single-entry NFL DFS lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be over 10% of my overall investment. This week, that includes: Single-entry lineup The goal here is to […]

Golf is the only sport where the “arena” in which it is played changes so dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you haven’t already. […]

A snapshot of the current ownership projections: The goal of this article is to use ownership to find paths to GPP success through the use of standard correlation and correlated leverage.  Offensive Efficiency Report Immediately, the most interesting part of the offensive efficiency report is the fact that KC is so heavily favored even though […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace = more possessions = more opportunity for fantasy production Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS – contrarian options […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup hitting as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time.  A great analogy is to think […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

NFL DFS ownership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this article is to: Take […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

If you thought this week’s Bermuda Championship couldn’t get any worse, you’re wrong — there’s once again no CF Model. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes […]

For the third straight week, we have no Course Fit Model. This also might be the worst field of all time, so – and I mean this in the most affectionate possible way – you’re a psycho if you’re playing this slate! I’m going to split this into two categories and keep it brief. Best […]

Each week, I’ll review my single entry lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be > 10% of my overall investment. This week, that includes: SE lineup Early Only SE Afternoon Only SE […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

First, a snapshot of the current ownership projections: The goal of this article is to use ownership to find paths to GPP success through the use of standard correlation and correlated leverage.  Offensive Efficiency Report New Orleans has the edge in both elements, on both sides of the ball. Consequently, it’s no surprise that Alvin […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace = more possessions = more opportunity for fantasy production Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS – contrarian options […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack – by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]

Ownership Projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this Thursday article is to: Take a […]

Pace is everything in NBA DFS. In my opinion, this is true for three reasons: Faster pace means more possessions, which mean more opportunity for fantasy production. Pace is more predictable than offensive efficiency, which is dependent on shooting variance. Certain players thrive in faster environments, leading to the holy grail of DFS — contrarian […]