Alex Blickle's Articles

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. For these playoff slates, it becomes even more difficult to do because fewer games mean inflated […]

NFL DFS rostership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this article is to: Take […]

Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy.” The playoffs present a unique challenge for this piece — any mismatch we are able to identify is […]

Welcome back, PGA fans! It’s the first real event of the year! Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in order to […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you haven’t […]

NFL Showdowns have swings like no other. You can go from outside the cashline to within takedown territory (or vice versa) in a single play. A key to ensuring that you’re on the right side of those swings more often than not is having a real sense of where ownership will be, and consequently how […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. For these playoff slates, it becomes even more difficult to do, because fewer games means inflated […]

Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy.” The playoffs present a unique challenge for this piece — any mismatch we are able to identify is […]

Ownership Projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this Thursday article is to: Take a […]

Welcome back, PGA fans! It’s the first real event of the year! Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in order […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you […]

Each week, I’ll review my single entry lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be > 10% of my overall investment. This week, that includes: SE lineup Alternate lineup Afternoon Only lineup The […]

GPP’s are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack – by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. Here are my top 10 under 10%. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks Teams haven’t been able to […]

Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy.” There’s a ton of uncertainty in the final week of the regular season, but some matchups still fly […]

NFL DFS rostership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this article is to: Take […]

Welcome back, PGA fans! Though this isn’t a typical PGA event (no cut), there’s still a lot to leverage. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risk and reward of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to […]

Each week, I’ll review my single-entry NFL DFS lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be over 10% of my overall investment. This week, that includes: Single-entry lineup The goal here is to […]

NFL Showdowns have swings like no other. You can go from outside the cashline to within takedown territory (or vice versa) in a single play. A key to ensuring you’re on the right side of those swings more often than not is having a real sense of where ownership will be, and consequently how to […]

Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics, if you […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. Here are my top 10 under 10%. Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers From Advanced Matchups: The […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

We’re back again with our advanced matchups look at the Week 17 DFS landscape around the NFL. Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy.” Let’s […]

NFL DFS rostership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this Thursday article is to: […]

Each week, I’ll review my single-entry NFL DFS lineup, as well as a couple others. I will also track success rates throughout the season. The criteria for the other lineups to make the article (and tracking) will be over 10% of my overall investment. This week, that includes: Three three-entry lineups The goal here is […]

NFL Showdowns have swings like no other. You can go from outside the cashline to within takedown territory (or vice versa) in a single play. A key to ensuring you’re on the right side of those swings more often than not is having a real sense of where ownership will be, and consequently how to […]

GPPs are a game of probability. We can think of the chance of our lineup “hitting” as the chance of all of our individual plays hitting. This is why we stack — by adding correlation, we increase the probability of a group of players hitting at the same time. A great analogy is to think […]

Finding ways to diversify without sacrificing expectation or ceiling is a key to GPP success. We can do this through the use of roster construction, but most of the time, we do it by finding diamonds in the rough. Here are my top 10 under 10% for Week 16 in DFS. Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati […]

NFL DFS rostership projections evolve throughout the week in a specific way. They begin as a reflection of how people view plays in a vacuum, slowly but surely progressing into a combination of how people view players and how certain player combinations fit into various lineup constructions.  The goal of this article is to: Take a […]

Eliot Crist qualifies his staple article as a pursuit to find “players in the best position to succeed… based on an individual matchup, how teams perform, pace of play, injury-related boost, or a game environment that’s juicy.” For the second consecutive week, I have the honor of doing just that in his stead. Matthew Stafford, […]