Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Brock Bowers is the rare tight end prospect with top-five draft talent and could see plenty of top-five draft selections in dynasty rookie leagues because of it. But behind him at the position, things are less clear. Five or more tight ends could hear their names in Rounds 3 and 4, and their draft orders will offer few clues to their short- and long-term fantasy potentials. That is where my similarity scoring model can help.
The model projects peak ratios and identifies multiple comps for prospects based on a combination of their college efficiencies, combine measurements and drill times, and expected draft positions. The sim score comps may lack the nuance that a professional scout could cultivate from extensive film study. But they also avoid some pitfalls with their comprehensive approach and set reasonable expectations for many of the most important fantasy concerns like explosive play and red zone potential.
The listed comps include both a sim score and confidence level, the latter in parentheses. More similar players score closer to a 0.00, and the model is more confident with its comps when both players participated in more of the most predictive combine drills for the listed peak stat projections.
You can read my previous statistical scouting reports for running backs and wide receivers.
You can also check out my dynasty rookie rankings.
Brock Bowers, Georgia
Predicted Round: Early 1st
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