fbpx
Bettings
article featured image background
Article preview

Statistical Scouting: Player Comps for the 2024 NFL Draft Prospects (WR)

NFL Fantasy

Authors

Share
Contents
Close

The NFL is in a golden age of Day 1 and 2 receiver talent. But not every early-round receiver has top-tier fantasy potential. Some are one-dimensional vertical threats that help their real teams more than fantasy ones with space-clearing deep routes. And some bolster their offensive profiles with value on special teams. You can beat the fantasy market if you understand prospect strengths and weaknesses, and my similarity scoring model can help.

The model projects peak ratios and identifies multiple comps for prospects based on a combination of their college efficiencies, combine measurements and drill times, and expected draft positions. The sim score comps may lack the nuance that a professional scout could cultivate from extensive film study. But they also avoid some pitfalls with their comprehensive approach and set reasonable expectations for many of the most important fantasy concerns like explosive play and red zone potential.

The listed comps include both a sim score and confidence level, the latter in parentheses. More similar players score closer to a 0.00, and the model is more confident with its comps when both players participated in more of the most predictive combine drills for the listed peak stat projections.

I already covered the running back prospects, and the series will conclude with tight ends next week leading into the start of the draft on April 25.

You can also check out my dynasty rookie rankings.

Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State

Predicted Round: Early 1st

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum. "Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis iste natus error sit voluptatem accusantium doloremque laudantium, totam rem aperiam, eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo. Nemo enim ipsam voluptatem quia voluptas sit aspernatur aut odit aut fugit, sed quia consequuntur magni dolores eos qui ratione voluptatem sequi nesciunt. Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem.

Log In or Sign Up to See More
Log In Sign Up
Previous Small Ball: Fantasy Baseball Game Theory: Using Psychology Next Should You Draft Russell Wilson and Justin Fields in Best Ball in 2024?

Related